The Rosenblum Team's Blog


Friday, January 13rd, 2012

Foreclosure's Down Finally

Foreclosures Decrease 34 Percent in 2011

 [1]Total U.S. foreclosure activity and the U.S. foreclosure rate in 2011 were both at their lowest annual level since 2007, according to RealtyTrac®, an online marketplace for foreclosure properties. The company recently released its Year-End 2011 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™, which shows a total of 2,698,967 foreclosure filings—default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions—were reported on 1,887,777 U.S. properties in 2011, a decrease of 34 percent in total properties from 2010. Foreclosure activity in 2011 was 33 percent below the 2009 total and 19 percent below the 2008 total.

The report also shows that 1.45 percent of U.S. housing units (one in 69) had at least one foreclosure filing during the year, down from 2.23 percent in 2010, 2.21 percent in 2009, and 1.84 percent in 2008.

“Foreclosures were in full delay mode in 2011, resulting in a dramatic drop in foreclosure activity for the year,” says Brandon Moore, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “The lack of clarity regarding many of the documentation and legal issues plaguing the foreclosure industry means that we are continuing to see a highly dysfunctional foreclosure process that is inefficiently dealing with delinquent mortgages—particularly in states with a judicial foreclosure process.

“There were strong signs in the second half of 2011 that lenders are finally beginning to push through some of the delayed foreclosures in select local markets. We expect that trend to continue this year, boosting foreclosure activity for 2012 higher than it was in 2011, though still below the peak of 2010.”

December activity hits 49-month low, scheduled auctions up in fourth quarter

Foreclosure filings were reported on 205,024 U.S. properties in December, a decrease of 9 percent from the previous month and down 20 percent from December 2010. December’s total was the lowest monthly total since November 2007—a 49-month low.

December Default notices (NOD, LIS) decreased 19 percent from the previous month and were down 23 percent from December 2010; Scheduled foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) decreased 12 percent from the previous month and were down 24 percent from December 2010; and bank repossessions (REO) increased 10 percent from the previous month but were still down 12 percent from December 2010.

Foreclosure filings were reported on 586,133 U.S. properties in the fourth quarter, a 4 percent decrease from the previous quarter and down 27 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010. Fourth quarter default notices were down 6 percent from the previous quarter and down 22 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010; scheduled foreclosure auctions increased 4 percent from the previous quarter but were still down 32 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010; and REOs decreased 11 percent from the previous quarter and were down 24 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010.

Nevada, Arizona, California post top state foreclosure rates for year

More than 6 percent of Nevada housing units (one in 16) had at least one foreclosure filing in 2011, giving it the nation’s highest state foreclosure rate for the fifth consecutive year despite a 31 percent decrease in foreclosure activity from 2010. Nevada foreclosure activity dropped 35 percent from the third quarter to the fourth quarter, driven primarily by a 70 percent decrease in default notices —the result of a new law (AB 284) that took effect in October requiring lenders to file an additional affidavit before starting the foreclosure process. The new law also increases the penalties for the use of fraudulent documents in foreclosure.

Despite a 28 percent drop in foreclosure activity from November to December— caused largely by a 41 percent drop in scheduled foreclosure auctions—Arizona registered the nation’s second highest state foreclosure rate for the third year in a row, with 4.14 percent of its housing units (one in 24) with at least one foreclosure filing in 2011.

California also experienced a substantial month-over-month drop in initial foreclosure notices in December—default notices there were down 38 percent from the previous month—but the state still registered the nation’s third highest foreclosure rate for all of 2011. One in every 31 California housing units (3.19 percent) had at least one foreclosure filing during the year, down from 4.08 percent in 2010 and 4.75 percent in 2009.

Georgia posted the nation’s fourth highest state foreclosure rate, with 2.71 percent of housing units (one in 37) with at least one foreclosure filing in 2011, and Utah posted the nation’s fifth highest state foreclosure rate, with 2.32 percent of its housing units (one in 43) with a foreclosure filing during the year.

Other states with 2011 foreclosure rates ranking among the nation’s 10 highest were Michigan (2.21 percent), Florida (2.06 percent), Illinois (1.95 percent), Colorado (1.78 percent), and Idaho (1.77 percent).

Foreclosure processing timelines continue to increase

U.S. properties foreclosed in the fourth quarter took an average of 348 days to complete the foreclosure process, up from 336 days in the third quarter and up from 305 days in the fourth quarter of 2010. The length of the average foreclosure process has increased 24 percent from 281 days in the third quarter of 2010, when lenders began to re-evaluate foreclosure procedures in earnest as the result of the so-called robo-signing controversy.

The average foreclosure process in New York has increased 37 percent during the same time period, and New York properties foreclosed in the fourth quarter took an average of 1,019 days to complete the foreclosure process—the longest of any state.

New Jersey documented the nation’s second longest average foreclosure process, at 964 days, and Florida documented the nation’s third longest average foreclosure process, at 806 days. Foreclosure activity in both these states dropped more than 60 percent from 2010 to 2011. All three states with the longest foreclosure timelines employ the judicial foreclosure process.

Texas continued to register the shortest average foreclosure process of any state, at 90 days—still an increase from 86 days in the third quarter and from 81 days in the fourth quarter of 2010. Other states with average foreclosure process among the nation’s shortest in the fourth quarter were Delaware (106 days), Kentucky (108 days), Virginia (132 days), and Louisiana (134 days).

Top metro foreclosure rates

With 7.38 percent of its housing units (one in 14) with at least one foreclosure filing in 2011, Las Vegas posted the nation’s top foreclosure rate for the year among metropolitan statistical areas with a population of 200,000 or more.

Ten out of the top 20 metro foreclosure rates in 2011 were in California cities, led by Stockton at No. 2, with 5.43 percent of housing units (one in 18) with at least one foreclosure filing during the year. Other California cities in the top 10 were Modesto at No. 3 (5.29 percent), Vallejo-Fairfield at No. 4 (5.20 percent), Riverside-San Bernardino at No. 5 (5.16 percent), Merced at No. 7 (4.40 percent), Bakersfield at No. 9 (4.31 percent), Sacramento at No. 10 (4.17 percent), Fresno at No. 11 (3.82 percent), Visalia at No. 13 (3.67 percent), and Ventura at No. 16 (3.27 percent).

Other metro areas with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 20 were Phoenix at No. 6 (5.10 percent); Reno, Nev., at No. 8 (4.37 percent); Atlanta at No. 12 (3.69 percent); Prescott, Ariz., at No. 14 (3.50 percent); Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla., at No. 15 (3.29 percent); Greeley, Colo., at No. 17 (2.97 percent); Detroit at No. 18 (2.94 percent); Boise, Idaho, at No. 19 (2.85 percent); and Salt Lake City at No. 20 (2.81 percent).




Posted by: The Rosenblum Team at 2:36pm  

 
Monday, December 5th, 2011

REO Investors VS Owner Occupied Properties

REO investors squeezing out owner-occupants

Owner-occupancy rates of real estate owned sales are plummeting as investors who recognize their economic value are taking advantage of bulk transactions, a trend that nonprofits and trade groups are closely monitoring.

New Vista Asset Management, a San Diego-based provider of real estate services for sellers of foreclosed residential homes, performed a three-year study that found 17 of 18 counties hit hardest by the country's mortgage crisis experienced a drop in REO properties sold to owner-occupiers.

The company tracked all real estate sale transactions closed in the first quarter of 2009 and includes consecutive quarterly data through the third quarter of 2011. The study included REO sales private banks, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.

According to the GSEs' financial statements, 59% of REOs sold by Fannie Mae in 2011 went to owner-occupiers, while 70% of Freddie Mac's REO sales went to owner-occupiers. Because the GSEs put in first-look programs to push more REO to owner occupiers, investors could be fleeing to private banks for these properties.

Quarter-to-quarter, some markets saw increases in the owner-occupier rate, but over the period of the study, owner-occupancy rates for REO broadly weakened.

The findings support recent investor sentiment toward new government REO programs.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency in October began to develop new pilot programs to more efficiently unload foreclosed homes held by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Investors are extremely enthusiastic about acquiring GSE and Federal Housing Administration REO properties in bulk and renting or selling them, Amherst Securities Group has said.

Amherst's report focuses specifically on the supply and demand imbalance that is currently making it difficult for property owners to offload properties. This imbalance has created a systemic shift in the housing market, making it more attractive for investors to eye properties as rentals that could potentially produce yield while improving the overall housing market.

"It is very clear to us that the economic value of the homes involved, and the benefit to the economy, is maximized by bulk auctions to investors (who will then turn them into rental housing)," said Amherst. "The massive housing market overhang is a clear danger to the U.S. economy — it creates significant stress on borrowers, communities, courts and the banking system — and is stifling growth in the broader economy."

Nonprofits and trade groups are stressing the importance of documenting any partnership with an investor to make sure these neighborhoods are maintained and begin recovery after the REO is sold. Most want documentation to ensure investors with poor management histories do not have access to bulk transactions.

Freddie Mac sold a record number of real estate owned properties in 2011 and received decent pricing on most of them, according to Tracy Mooney, senior vice president of single-family servicing and real estate owned properties at the GSE.

Mooney said that the majority of REO sales at Freddie are going to owner-occupants.

"While we have always been open to selling to investors, our strategy is to limit the concentration of investor sales in any given area," Mooney said. "In addition, we do not typically consider any offers that require significant discount pricing."

The longer the property sits, the more cash buyers end up with the property, often for steep discounts. For the 2006 REO that resold more than one year later, 55% went to cash investors, compared to 40% for the entire foreclosure stock that year.

New Vista's study used data extracted from local recorder, courthouse and tax assessment records to determine whether the purchasers buying foreclosed houses from banks, HUD, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, are owner-occupants or absentee owners using single family homes as rental or vacation properties.

The pace and scale of decline varied widely across markets, according to the study. In Los Angeles County, Calif., for example, the New Vista data shows 79.36% of single-family REO houses were purchased by owner occupants in 2009, compared with only 60.32% in the third quarter of 2011.

Most counties covered by the study saw declines of more than 5% during the same period, with a few dropping more modestly.

Only one county included in the index, Wayne County, Mich., had an owner occupancy rate for single-family REO sales below 50% in 2009.

By the third quarter of 2011, owner occupancy rates for REO sales in an additional four of the studied counties had fallen below 50%, including Maricopa County, Ariz.; Osceola County, Fla.; Miami-Dade County, Fla.; and Clark County, Nev.

"The increased investor acquisition of REOs is reversing the years of community development progress that nonprofits have facilitated throughout California," said Kevin Stein ofCalifornia Reinvestment Coalition.

"We need to ensure that lenders, nonprofits and government agencies are working together to give qualified homebuyers a fair chance to purchase REO properties and help stabilize residential neighborhoods," he said.




Posted by: The Rosenblum Team at 7:35pm  

 
Monday, December 5th, 2011

Appraisal changes unevenly adopted at Fannie and Freddie

Monday, December 5th, 2011

 

Appraisal changes at Fannie and Freddie unevenly adopted

The government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac started implementing the Uniform Collateral Data Portal as part of the ongoing Uniform Mortgage Data Program on Thursday.

The new program accepts electronic appraisals via a new .XML data report. The previously popular .pdf is no longer being accepted.

It's a change that early reports indicate will get off to a slow start.

For the most part, given the scope of the project, several street-level appraisers may struggle to get their heads around the new process.

The Uniform Collateral Data Portal is at its heart a quality-control initiative. Under the uniform delivery, the GSEs will have an easier time enforcing repurchase and warranty claims. The lender can be made aware of a possible appraisal problem before the loan is even closed.

Once an appraisal is delivered to the portal a "submission summary report" gives the GSE go-ahead to close.

If the appraisal doesn't get a SSR, it can't close and must be resubmitted in the correct format.

"The problem is where lenders who do 20 to 30 loans a month, they don't have an appraisal management company or someone to call on them to insure they are up to date and ready to go," said of Matt McHale co-founder of Global DMS, a mortgage technology firm.

Independent lenders are not mandated to use an AMC, or anyone else for that matter, for UCDP compliance. They do, however, still need to independently register directly with the UCDP. And if they haven't by now, they can't close Fannie or Freddie deals.

"It can delay the whole process if that SSR isn't done," he added. "It takes time and time kills deals."

McHale adds that the Federal Housing Administrationis adopting the Uniform Appraisal Dataset portion of the UCDP on Jan. 1. Some correspondent lenders may be under the assumption they can wait until then.




Posted by: The Rosenblum Team at 7:45pm  


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